Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 26 | $0.961 | $25.41 | +$0.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 68.96 | $0.195 | $13.45 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 25.9 |
| $0.039 |
| $0.95 |
| -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 25.9 |
| $0.039 |
| $1.01 |
| 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26 | $0.961 | $24.99 | 5d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Under | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 21.35 | $0.820 | $17.51 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 14.96 | $0.690 | $10.32 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.7 | $0.230 | $10.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.831 | $10.25 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.87 | $0.910 | $16.26 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.670 | $8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.670 | $6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.29 | $0.470 | $10.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 North Korea missile launch by February 28?Yes | sell | 38.83 | $0.214 | $8.29 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| North Korea missile launch by February 28?Yes | buy | 38.84 | $0.362 | $14.07 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31No | buy | 20.29 | $0.690 | $14 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No | buy | 25.94 | $0.540 | $14 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.995 | $16.04 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 17.15 | $0.966 | $16.57 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.33 | $0.334 | $9.45 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.33 | $0.360 | $10.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 11.12 | $0.917 | $10.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 17.15 | $0.604 | $10.36 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.994 | $10.35 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.460 | $12.78 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.800 | $4.82 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $7.96 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | buy | 27.44 | $0.412 | $11.31 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.860 | $11.31 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.29 | $0.510 | $10.86 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.145 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |