Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 46% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 14% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 46% on 1 Mar 2026.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 36.0% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kriptoguy | Yes | 1.93K |
| Quarrelsome-Bidding | Yes | 121.2 |
| PunchedGull | Yes | 113.02 |
| Zolisza | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sex tape featuring Peter Magyar is made public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying "sex tapes" must be video footage involving sexual acts depicting the genitals of any individual(s) shown, or otherwise clearly showing Peter Magyar performing sexual acts. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered. The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pter-magyar-sextape-released-by-march-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| magicbed | Yes | 63.81 |
| Periculum | Yes | 56.49 |
| ekbalint | Yes | 52.2 |
| Suspicious-Hatbox | Yes | 31.25 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 29.96 |
| Probable-Chicory | Yes | 27.77 |
