Latest trade
Mar 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:01 AM UTC.
Analytics
Dead-Kettledrum is down $133.63 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:01 AM UTC.
$1.96 median trade
Its latest 45 trades covered 15 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Feb 17, 2026 UTC to Mar 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 6.85 | $0.730 | $3.94 | -$1.06 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 668.67 | $0.160 | $106.99 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-20 09:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 01:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
45 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 01:01 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-20 09:01 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $10.28 and losing ones cost $3.73 across 10 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.38 on “Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.04 on “Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Mar 2026. It has traded 15 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.06 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 4.88 |
| $0.410 |
| $0.12 |
| -$1.88 |
| buy |
| 80.15 |
| $0.074 |
| $5.95 |
| Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.058 | $103 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 339.08 | $0.059 | $20 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 240.1 | $0.200 | $48.02 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 266.75 | $0.180 | $48.02 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 113.75 | $0.240 | $27.3 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 253.31 | $0.054 | $13.77 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 182.91 | $0.030 | $5.47 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 29.45 | $0.240 | $7.07 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.92 | $0.120 | $5.27 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 188.87 | $0.010 | $1.96 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 191.66 | $0.011 | $2.17 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.008 | $1.14 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 18.81 | $0.210 | $3.95 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 63.88 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 57.92 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 177.84 | $0.056 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.053 | $3 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.