Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.35 | $0.082 | $9.28 | Dec 18, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 273.82 |
| $0.180 |
| $49.27 |
| Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.179 | $378.13 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 63.23 | $0.140 | $8.85 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | sell | 631.1 | $0.223 | $140.61 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 63.24 | $0.280 | $17.72 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 631.1 | $0.360 | $227.2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.580 | $48.14 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 331.98 | $0.580 | $192.55 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 79.02 | $0.171 | $13.5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Han Duck-soo in jail by December 31?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.990 | $6.66 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 361.89 | $0.995 | $360.08 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 139.77 | $0.994 | $138.93 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 68.54 | $0.620 | $42.49 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 456.52 | $0.988 | $450.94 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No | sell | 308.43 | $0.996 | $307.2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | sell | 66.42 | $0.990 | $65.76 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 68.54 | $0.370 | $25.36 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | sell | 84.52 | $0.300 | $25.36 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 66.42 | $0.889 | $59.05 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No | sell | 59.29 | $0.996 | $59.06 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 84.52 | $0.690 | $58.32 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.23K | $0.026 | $58.32 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 308.44 | $0.940 | $289.93 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 59.29 | $0.977 | $57.93 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.32K | $0.100 | $1.03K | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 307.06 | $0.999 | $306.75 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 738.85 | $0.980 | $724.07 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 431.16 | $0.975 | $420.38 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 307.06 | $0.977 | $300 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.975 | $300 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Pennington vs. GomesGomes | buy | 1.04K | $0.635 | $663.85 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 681.57 | $0.974 | $663.85 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 681.58 | $0.982 | $669.31 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 669.31 | $0.979 | $655.01 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Cuamba vs. LeeLee | sell | 196.07 | $0.484 | $94.93 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Cuamba vs. LeeLee | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. ZhangZhang | buy | 52.73 | $0.770 | $40.6 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. SterlingOrtega | buy | 96 | $0.170 | $16.32 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Long vs. YouYou | sell | 57.5 | $0.990 | $56.93 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Long vs. YouYou | buy | 57.51 | $0.570 | $32.78 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 40.17 | $0.780 | $31.33 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 193.55 | $0.162 | $31.33 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 193.56 | $0.590 | $114.2 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 118.59 | $0.963 | $114.2 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 118.6 | $0.963 | $114.21 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 900.81 | $0.310 | $279.25 | May 8, 2025 |