Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 20 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 7.1% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points up, to 7.1% on 26 Nov 2025. $61.4K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 1, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.35K |
| FollowChart | Yes | 4.3K |
| guvy109 | Yes | 3.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november
| Yes |
| 2.28K |
| Cosmopoli | Yes | 2.05K |
| uyigv | Yes | 1.4K |
| onejfhhnnjk | Yes | 1.07K |
| 12a | Yes | 1K |
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 915 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
