Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.52 | $0.954 | $0.51 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.810 | $23.49 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 29 |
| $0.810 |
| $23.49 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.680 | $25.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.590 | $22.42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.910 | $7.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.130 | $3.64 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.120 | $3.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 31 | $0.900 | $27.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 31 | $0.900 | $27.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.941 | $13.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.942 | $25.43 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 29 | $0.960 | $27.84 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.967 | $28.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.960 | $10.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.960 | $10.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 59 | $0.570 | $33.63 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 59 | $0.570 | $33.63 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 77 | $0.460 | $35.42 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.984 | $35.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.984 | $35.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 37.48 | $0.956 | $35.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.954 | $36.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.964 | $36.63 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.965 | $29.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.610 | $32.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.957 | $32.54 | May 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.510 | $35.7 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.930 | $32.55 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.940 | $32.9 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.967 | $35.78 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.968 | $35.82 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.290 | $29.87 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.976 | $45.87 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.981 | $46.11 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.954 | $19.08 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.050 | $7.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.540 | $5.94 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.540 | $5.94 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.066 | $1.72 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.063 | $4.91 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 92 | $0.510 | $46.92 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 92 | $0.510 | $46.92 | May 28, 2026 |