Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.934 | $1.96 | 11d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 2.06 |
| $0.970 |
| $2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.901 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Trump" 5+ times on Thursday?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.892 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
 Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | sell | 2.75 | $0.890 | $2.45 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.7 | $0.710 | $1.92 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.9 | $0.470 | $2.77 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | sell | 10.93 | $0.590 | $6.45 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.55 | $0.530 | $5.59 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.9 | $0.470 | $2.77 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | sell | 21.48 | $0.990 | $21.27 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 20.75 | $0.540 | $11.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.74 | $0.520 | $5.59 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 11.13 | $0.240 | $2.67 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | sell | 34 | $0.760 | $25.84 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | sell | 38.56 | $0.620 | $23.91 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 37.12 | $0.500 | $18.56 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 32.92 | $0.570 | $18.76 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 112.4 | $0.873 | $98.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |