Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0%; no result has been reported.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 May 2026 to 5 May 2026, the highest close was 5.5% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 5 May 2026.
$140.2K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Flawed-Backpack with 5.4K shares; the largest No position is Unusual-Signify with 1. Ten wallets hold 89.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 4:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 May 2026 – 5 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | 5.5% |
| 5 May 2026 | 1.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flawed-Backpack | Yes | 5.38K |
| xshadow | Yes | 2.5K |
| Betmeonce | Yes | 1.1K |
| whyuyu | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sheikh Dr. Sultan bin Muhammad Al Qasimi is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sharjah-ruler-sultan-bin-muhammad-al-qasimi-arrested-by-may-31
| drorch | Yes | 1K |
| Last-Socialism | Yes | 549.74 |
| Mammq | Yes | 538.42 |
| Solar Falcon 8334 | Yes | 526.32 |
| TheCornflakemerchant | Yes | 500 |
| BlueStarLtd | Yes | 416.67 |
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