Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 19 May 2026, the highest close was 96% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 92.5% on 17 May 2026. $1.58K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 16 May 2026 – 19 May 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 73.5% |
| 19 May 2026 | 96.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 208.48 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-may-19
| No |
| 50 |
| Lavincey | No | 42.42 |
| buyOthern | No | 38.68 |
| niglette | No | 37.14 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 33 |
| Vast-Damage | No | 18.18 |
| Oledhza | Yes | 6.19 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
