Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | May 17, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 8.25 |
| $0.970 |
| $8 |
| May 17, 2026 |
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.993 | $7.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?Yes | buy | 14.28 | $0.977 | $13.95 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 17 be less than 2,600,000?Yes | buy | 50.99 | $0.981 | $50 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.980 | $6.32 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 20, 2026?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Big Game: 'Deja Vu' ParlayNo | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.971 | $3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.600 | $180 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.920 | $3.89 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.630 | $69.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 106.5 | $0.470 | $50.06 | Nov 3, 2025 |
HasanAbi arrested by October 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.981 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.978 | $4 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.963 | $3.5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.930 | $1.34 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.993 | $4.23 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.984 | $3.12 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5% on October 10?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.983 | $3.23 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in September?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.980 | $2.41 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.910 | $2.54 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.930 | $4.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.986 | $2.45 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?No | buy | 4.5 | $0.800 | $3.6 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.940 | $4.72 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.975 | $2.43 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Apple launch an iPhone Air on September 9?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
RFK Jr. Out by September 30?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.970 | $3.35 | Sep 6, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.992 | $7.34 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $117.5K on August 19 at 4PM ET?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.977 | $6 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.991 | $7 | Aug 5, 2025 |
India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.988 | $5.3 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Pakistan strike on India by August 31?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.978 | $5.2 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.940 | $6.3 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.920 | $6.3 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.998 | $6.21 | Jul 6, 2025 |
2025 July hottest on record?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.960 | $5.34 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Alan Garber out as Harvard President before July?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.989 | $6.43 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.980 | $6.23 | Jun 9, 2025 |