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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.43 | $0.961 | $3.42 | +$0.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | 14h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.24 |
| $0.340 |
| $1.42 |
| +$0.32 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.41 | +$0.31 |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.25 | +$0.15 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.2 | +$0.1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.21 | $0.909 | $1.15 | +$0.05 |
 Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 1.12 | $0.967 | $1.12 | +$0.04 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 1.12 | $0.967 | $1.11 | +$0.03 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | No | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.09 | -$0.01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.69 | $0.650 | $0.93 | -$0.17 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.95 | $0.540 | $0.92 | +$0.4 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.620 | $0.91 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.75 | $0.630 | $0.83 | -$0.27 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.430 | $0.08 | -$0.46 |
| buy |
| 3.24 |
| $0.340 |
| $1.1 |
| 14h ago |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | 20h ago |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
 Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.300 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
| Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.180 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 0.85 | $0.780 | $0.66 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Over | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%?Under | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?Over | buy | 1.15 | $0.960 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.917 | $0.96 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.909 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.54 | $0.917 | $8.75 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.530 | $0.02 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.530 | $0.02 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.560 | $0.17 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.951 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.898 | $0.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.961 | $1.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.961 | $1.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.961 | $1.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.864 | $1.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.270 | $0.17 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.987 | $0.57 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.986 | $0.53 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.975 | $1.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.809 | $0.77 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.230 | $0.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Golden Knights vs. HurricanesGolden Knights | buy | 2.34 | $0.820 | $1.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.150 | $1.08 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.150 | $1.08 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.150 | $1.08 | May 25, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.815 | $0.86 | May 24, 2026 |
 Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over | buy | 2.45 | $0.530 | $1.3 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.451 | $0.26 | May 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 0.61 | $0.670 | $0.41 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.451 | $0.26 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.452 | $0.01 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.451 | $0.29 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.456 | $0.13 | May 24, 2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights | buy | 2.98 | $0.430 | $1.28 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.160 | $0.96 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.170 | $1.08 | May 24, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 1.45 | $0.780 | $1.13 | May 23, 2026 |