Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.02 |
| $0.199 |
| $0.85 |
| -$0.15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.73 | -$0.28 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.380 | $0.71 | -$1.29 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
| buy |
| 2.38 |
| $0.420 |
| $1 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.199 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.354 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.750 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.250 | $6 | Jan 21, 2026 |