Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.260 | $8.32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 16 |
| $0.160 |
| $2.56 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 32.86 | $0.960 | $31.55 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.960 | $36.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.140 | $5.18 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.360 | $6.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 87 | $0.420 | $36.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 87 | $0.550 | $47.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.939 | $9.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.969 | $47.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.047 | $1.41 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.048 | $3.55 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.965 | $33.78 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.810 | $43.74 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.440 | $20.68 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.440 | $31.24 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.580 | $14.5 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.220 | $17.38 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | May 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.874 | $35.83 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.200 | $4.2 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.190 | $3.99 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.600 | $38.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.630 | $51.66 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.370 | $38.85 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.400 | $22 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 75 | $0.644 | $48.3 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 52 | $0.937 | $48.72 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.720 | $20.88 | May 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.480 | $42.24 | May 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.480 | $52.32 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.570 | $47.31 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.570 | $20.52 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.948 | $37.92 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.948 | $37.92 | May 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.720 | $37.44 | May 19, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.034 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.034 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.956 | $46.84 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.063 | $0.19 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 48 | $0.974 | $46.75 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.284 | $17.89 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.286 | $24.88 | May 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.039 | $5.85 | May 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.039 | $5.85 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.987 | $17.77 | May 15, 2026 |