Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? | No | 144 | $0.945 | $143.14 | +$7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 10.76 | $0.280 | $3.01 | 53m ago |
 |
| No |
| 376 |
| $0.160 |
| $103.4 |
| +$43.29 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | No | 193.96 | $0.550 | $100.86 | -$5.88 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 138.87 | $0.640 | $95.82 | +$6.94 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 129 | $0.620 | $84.5 | +$4.52 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 289.75 | $0.307 | $82.58 | -$6.5 |
 Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 243.75 | $0.200 | $75.56 | +$26.81 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 97 | $0.740 | $64.99 | -$6.79 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 380 | $0.190 | $62.7 | -$9.5 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 60 | $0.704 | $59.73 | +$17.48 |
 Will Macy's say "Tax" during earnings call? | No | 90 | $0.390 | $49.05 | +$13.95 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | No | 73 | $0.715 | $48.55 | -$3.66 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | Yes | 267.91 | $0.145 | $46.88 | +$7.98 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 43 | $0.820 | $33.5 | -$1.76 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 35 | $0.860 | $31.68 | +$1.58 |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | No | 25 | $0.490 | $11.63 | -$0.63 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 108 | $0.106 | $6.26 | -$5.24 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 29.2 | $0.150 | $5.4 | +$1.02 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.061 | $1.8 | -$3.08 |
| buy |
| 140 |
| $0.190 |
| $26.6 |
| 11h ago |
 Will Chewy say "Consumable" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Chewy say "Consumable" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 69.73 | $0.800 | $55.78 | 1d ago |
| Will Chewy say "Mobile" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.600 | $19.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Macy's say "Tax" during earnings call?No | buy | 90 | $0.390 | $35.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 376 | $0.160 | $60.11 | 1d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 108 | $0.106 | $11.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 120 | $0.704 | $84.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | buy | 272 | $0.345 | $93.92 | 2d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?No | sell | 15 | $0.966 | $14.49 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Under | sell | 52.32 | $0.260 | $13.6 | 6d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Yes | buy | 112.91 | $0.099 | $11.19 | 6d ago |
 Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 39.6 | $0.845 | $33.47 | 6d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 148 | $0.720 | $106.56 | 6d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 116 | $0.740 | $85.84 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | sell | 216 | $0.711 | $153.51 | 7d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 97 | $0.740 | $71.78 | 8d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 129 | $0.620 | $79.98 | 8d ago |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | buy | 416 | $0.120 | $49.92 | 8d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | buy | 216 | $0.322 | $69.56 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.860 | $30.1 | 9d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 200 | $0.347 | $69.39 | 9d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No | buy | 165 | $0.640 | $105.6 | 9d ago |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.805 | $48.3 | 10d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | sell | 8.3 | $0.610 | $5.06 | 10d ago |
 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?No | sell | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | 10d ago |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | 13d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?No | buy | 73 | $0.715 | $52.21 | 13d ago |
| Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 39.6 | $0.846 | $33.48 | 13d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Under | buy | 177 | $0.386 | $68.24 | 13d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 148 | $0.710 | $105.08 | 13d ago |
| Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.947 | $19.88 | 13d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.635 | $66.65 | 14d ago |
 Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.832 | $83.28 | 15d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | buy | 31 | $0.950 | $29.45 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.064 | $12.48 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.120 | $23.4 | 15d ago |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.504 | $52.95 | 16d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 254 | $0.320 | $81.28 | 16d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.211 | $10.74 | 16d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.596 | $56.06 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.43 | $0.224 | $8.83 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.227 | $9.08 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.57 | $0.229 | $13.18 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.190 | $16.15 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.161 | $8.05 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.195 | $6.24 | 18d ago |