Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.028 | $0.43 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 15.79 |
| $0.190 |
| $3 |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-04?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.140 | $1.89 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Yes | sell | 27.79 | $0.260 | $7.23 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Yes | buy | 17.15 | $0.233 | $4 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.810 | $4.15 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 29.76 | $0.168 | $5 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.330 | $1.83 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Epstein phonebook only document released today?No | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the Serie A?Yes | buy | 72.07 | $0.111 | $8 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.059 | $0.59 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101000 and $103000 on Feb 28?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $95000 and $97000 on Feb 28?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $97000 and $99000 on Feb 28?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on Feb 28?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 AOC charged before July?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.043 | $1.03 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Was the captain of crashed Delta flight a woman?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Was the captain of crashed Delta flight a woman?No | buy | 6 | $0.700 | $4.2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 20 | $0.316 | $6.31 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.061 | $1.22 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.058 | $1.16 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.045 | $1.04 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.042 | $1.05 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.670 | $7.37 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.137 | $2.74 | Feb 16, 2025 |