
Resolved No on 20 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 16 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2025 to 20 Feb 2025, the highest close was 68.5% on 18 Feb 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 20 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 65 points down, to 1.5% on 20 Feb 2025. $329.47K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 6:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Feb 2025 – 20 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2025 | 65.5% |
| 20 Feb 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chencc | Yes | 340 |
| nonofurbizz | Yes | 197.28 |
| Actualbozo | Yes | 117.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump and Elon Musk are scheduled to sit for their first joint interview on February 18. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5146248-trump-elon-musk-hannity-fox-news-doge/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald Trump or Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For outcomes which require saying the word multiple times, the total # of times Elon and Trump say the word combined in total will be used for resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by one or both individuals, or otherwise is not aired by February 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-and-elon-say-during-their-feb-18-interview
| Yes |
| 71.43 |
| Bigge44 | Yes | 45.08 |
| VoxPopuliVoxDei | Yes | 22.39 |
| sevkete | Yes | 17.31 |
| CryptoKit | Yes | 15.01 |
| Hurtful-Pigeon | Yes | 7.35 |
| Tamar | Yes | 1.52 |
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