Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 93.96 | $0.915 | $90.34 | +$4.34 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 70.97 | $0.930 | $66 | May 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.3 |
| $0.940 |
| $4.98 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.994 | $21 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 32.36 | $0.989 | $32 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.919 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 28?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.973 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 100.73 | $0.997 | $100.43 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 50.59 | $0.988 | $50 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 50.51 | $0.990 | $50 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 500.5 | $0.999 | $500 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 501 | $0.998 | $500 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 201.61 | $0.993 | $200.2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 303.33 | $0.989 | $299.99 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 306.43 | $0.980 | $300.3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 201.61 | $0.992 | $200 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 306.44 | $0.979 | $300 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 303.34 | $0.989 | $300 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?No | buy | 12.28 | $0.977 | $12 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No | buy | 50.12 | $0.998 | $50 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 102.35 | $0.978 | $100.1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 102.35 | $0.977 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.484 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 94.2 | $0.032 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 24?Yes | sell | 10.95 | $0.958 | $10.49 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 24?Yes | buy | 10.95 | $0.913 | $10 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.931 | $10 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 13?Yes | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 12?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 12?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 12?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on September 12?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.582 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on September 12?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $108K on September 10?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4200 on September 10?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.578 | $17 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | sell | 28.3 | $0.520 | $14.72 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.63K | $0.573 | $1.51K | Nov 4, 2024 |