Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.540 | $5.74 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?No| sell |
| 4.05 |
| $0.790 |
| $3.2 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.698 | $1.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.050 | $1.43 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.709 | $3.66 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.110 | $4.23 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.110 | $2.54 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.810 | $4.82 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.910 | $5.29 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.640 | $5.33 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 214.55 | $0.028 | $6.01 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.160 | $4.71 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 27.39 | $0.740 | $20.27 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 4.25 | $0.690 | $2.93 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.62 | $0.750 | $1.96 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.680 | $1.95 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.810 | $3.95 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.63 | $0.630 | $2.92 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.25 | $0.920 | $2.99 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.47 | $0.800 | $1.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.83 | $0.690 | $1.95 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.37 | $0.410 | $0.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.28 | $0.230 | $0.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.48 | $0.660 | $0.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.66 | $0.810 | $2.96 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.38 | $0.910 | $3.99 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.79 | $0.780 | $2.96 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | buy | 4.08 | $0.720 | $2.94 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down on February 14?Down | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on February 14?Down | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.5 | $0.650 | $2.92 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 4.43 | $0.660 | $2.92 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.29 | $0.550 | $2.91 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.83 | $0.690 | $1.95 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?Up | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.64 | $0.130 | $0.99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp | buy | 3.09 | $0.630 | $1.95 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 6.1 | $0.320 | $1.95 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.24 | $0.600 | $1.94 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp | buy | 4.43 | $0.660 | $2.92 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |