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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.989 | $1.25 | Jan 2, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.16 |
| $0.998 |
| $1.16 |
| Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.995 | $1.26 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.995 | $1.25 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes | buy | 3.35 | $0.391 | $1.31 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.399 | $1.3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.996 | $2.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.981 | $2.44 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.995 | $1.35 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.985 | $1.41 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.954 | $1.67 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Obama federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.947 | $2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.984 | $2.6 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.997 | $1.65 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.995 | $1.7 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.970 | $3.48 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.975 | $5.6 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.975 | $5.67 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.977 | $5.2 | May 20, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.979 | $5.29 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 13.78 | $0.949 | $13.08 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.337 | $1.48K | Oct 29, 2024 |
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.991 | $1.48K | Oct 29, 2024 |
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.994 | $1.49K | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 32.59 | $0.900 | $29.33 | Oct 12, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 32.6 | $0.920 | $29.99 | Oct 12, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 185.71 | $0.519 | $96.38 | Sep 10, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 185.72 | $0.523 | $97.13 | Sep 10, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 114.27 | $0.850 | $97.13 | Sep 6, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 114.28 | $0.860 | $98.28 | Sep 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 206.91 | $0.475 | $98.28 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 206.92 | $0.474 | $98.08 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 108.98 | $0.900 | $98.08 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 108.99 | $0.910 | $99.18 | Aug 27, 2024 |