Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.4%. Yes opened at 80% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, the highest close was 97.4% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 80% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points up, to 97.4% on 2 Jan 2026. $65.24K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 2 Jan 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 80.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 97.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.31K |
| heresjimmy | No | 7.04K |
| funding | No | 5K |
| tupac | No | 2.37K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-january-2
| ngmai25 | No | 887.15 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 540 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 423 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 341 |
| eightpenguins | No | 264.63 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 211 |
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