Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.99 | $0.953 | $0.97 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 136 |
| $0.650 |
| $88.4 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 136 | $0.670 | $91.12 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 103 | $0.965 | $99.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 105 | $0.950 | $99.75 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 113 | $0.820 | $92.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 176 | $0.490 | $86.24 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 291 | $0.190 | $55.29 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 224 | $0.670 | $150.08 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 224 | $0.680 | $152.32 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.830 | $138.61 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 37 | $0.420 | $15.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 283 | $0.540 | $152.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.210 | $34.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 176 | $0.966 | $170.02 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 191 | $0.810 | $154.71 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 344 | $0.022 | $7.57 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 236 | $0.610 | $143.96 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.988 | $15.81 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.988 | $15.81 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 77.11 | $0.068 | $5.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 154.41 | $0.953 | $147.15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 178 | $0.811 | $144.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.043 | $6.88 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 155 | $0.985 | $152.68 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.187 | $28.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 162 | $0.987 | $159.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.490 | $73.99 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.786 | $16.51 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.989 | $57.36 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 198 | $0.811 | $160.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 198 | $0.806 | $159.59 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 148 | $0.966 | $142.97 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 148 | $0.967 | $143.12 | May 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.540 | $12.42 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 231 | $0.620 | $143.22 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.490 | $13.23 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.490 | $13.23 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 376 | $0.420 | $157.92 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 376 | $0.420 | $157.92 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 151 | $0.967 | $146.02 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.310 | $44.95 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 219 | $0.047 | $10.29 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 28 | $0.971 | $27.19 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 153 | $0.978 | $149.63 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 169 | $0.957 | $161.73 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.189 | $25.7 | May 23, 2026 |