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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.98 | $0.954 | $0.96 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.590 | $24.78 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 16 |
| $0.190 |
| $3.04 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.180 | $9.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.180 | $5.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.850 | $24.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.710 | $24.85 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.064 | $2.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.044 | $1.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.938 | $24.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.938 | $24.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 29.29 | $0.210 | $6.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.220 | $20.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.260 | $9.62 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.260 | $9.62 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.680 | $5.44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.210 | $20.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.790 | $17.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.814 | $27.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 18 | $0.954 | $17.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.490 | $16.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1 | $0.979 | $0.98 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.996 | $15.94 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?No | sell | 15 | $0.710 | $10.65 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?No | buy | 15 | $0.730 | $10.95 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?No | buy | 13 | $0.810 | $10.53 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.300 | $11.1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?No | sell | 12 | $0.770 | $9.24 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?No | sell | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 12 | $0.770 | $9.24 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?No | sell | 32 | $0.210 | $6.72 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.790 | $11.06 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?No | buy | 3 | $0.810 | $2.43 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Panthers vs. 49ers49ers | sell | 14 | $0.760 | $10.64 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Panthers vs. 49ers49ers | buy | 14 | $0.760 | $10.64 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.470 | $10.81 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.480 | $7.68 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.770 | $10.78 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.480 | $11.04 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?No | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?No | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?No | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.116 | $2.32 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.987 | $6.91 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.046 | $1.47 | Oct 23, 2025 |