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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.890 | $356 | Dec 19, 2024 |
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| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.399 |
| $19.95 |
| Dec 10, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.588 | $58.8 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.004 | $0.6 | Oct 18, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?No | buy | 600 | $0.999 | $599.4 | Oct 17, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Oct 17, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 300 | $0.377 | $113.1 | Oct 17, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | Oct 17, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.622 | $311 | Oct 17, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.723 | $72.3 | Oct 10, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 300 | $0.469 | $140.7 | Oct 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.498 | $249 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.003 | $1.35 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Sep 26, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 650 | $0.998 | $648.7 | Sep 26, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 650 | $0.999 | $649.35 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 550 | $0.998 | $548.9 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 550 | $0.997 | $548.35 | Aug 20, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?No | sell | 300 | $0.996 | $298.8 | Aug 20, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?No | buy | 300 | $0.997 | $299.1 | Aug 19, 2024 |