Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 147 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $130.18K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 7:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 147 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yoon-out-of-custody-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 313.01 |
| oak | Yes | 308.86 |
| BrumelCompanyLTD | Yes | 214.76 |
| sinner1 | No | 184.45 |
| lissartter | Yes | 175.1 |
| Cosmic Oracle 7109 | Yes | 174 |
| rastoscx | Yes | 167 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
