Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 9 Mar 2026 and the low 4.7% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 34% on 9 Mar 2026.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 9:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 20 Feb 2026 – 9 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 28.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 88mnm88 | No | 147.44 |
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
| oak | No | 91.71 |
| RPolly | No | 77.09 |
| Lavincey | No | 34.09 |
| PX5300 | No | 30 |
| Naughty-Carpet | No | 23.13 |
| mightymighty | No | 15.64 |
| Jarvis1 | No | 5 |
| 13klklas | No | 1.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Yellow's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Yellow (https://x.com/Yellow) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yellow-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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