Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 20% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 20% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 13.5% on 25 Jul 2025. $10.3K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 20.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
| andarian | Yes | 340 |
| EliP7 | Yes | 96.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yuli Edelstein leaves the Likud Party by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the Likud Party, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing Likud and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Edelstein stating that he is leaving Likud will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Edelstein or Likud. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-yuli-edelstein-leave-likud-party-by-august-31
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 93.7 |
| lissartter | Yes | 44.44 |
| hedge3002 | Yes | 41.33 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 25 |
| HolyMoses7VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 0.03 |
| prince1pp | No | 0.02 |
| ratue | Yes | 0.02 |
