Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 177 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 30 Sep 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 5 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.4% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 17.5% on 30 Aug 2026. $2.45K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 2:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 23.5% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 7.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 955.31 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 87.99 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 82.71 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Kevin Vallejos is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Kevin Vallejos is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Kevin Vallejos is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-kevin-vallejos-fight-next
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 40 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 31.64 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| R18helloworld | Yes | 27.53 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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