Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 3.8 points from 4.1% when the market opened on 7 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%.
It is one of 19 markets under “Next Israeli Minister of Defense?”.
$1.35K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.33K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $8.01 bought Yes and $829.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 586 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 96.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 4.1% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.35K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 585.88 |
| HolyMoses7VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-defense
7 more markets, none above 0.3%.
| Yes |
| 442.05 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 310.85 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 303 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 254.85 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 92.54 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 70.13 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 56.49 |
| WarriorH | Yes | 50.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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