Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 12, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 93% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 12 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.2% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 93% on 1 Sep 2026. $2.62K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 3:41 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 12 Sep 2026, chart shows 90%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Sep 2026	93.0%
12 Sep 2026	99.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	663.19
Attached-Prairie	No	325
Dr.PNL	No	149.06
chessplayer	No	120

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).