Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.4%; no result has been reported.
Across the 46 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.9%; a month before, 11.8%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
30+ ranks sixth of the 7 outcomes in “Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?”. 20-21 leads at 47.5%; 22-23 is at 45.5%.
$17K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is shinyandrew with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is Sticky-Closing with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 82.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 5:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 27.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sticky-Closing | No | 3.21K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.92K |
| shinyandrew | Yes | 2.17K |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.2K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 1.04K |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 687.12 |
| E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t | Yes | 550 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 438.36 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 311 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 309.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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