Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $3.42K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.49K |
| puiemsd | Yes | 2K |
| blancsoftbl | Yes | 583.42 |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 255 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Men's Young Talent of the Year award (previously the Kopa Trophy) at the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony, scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than one player is named the winner of this award, this market will resolve to "Other". If no winner of this award is declared by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including the cancellation or postponement of the ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-2026-mens-young-talent-of-the-year
| e46m3 | Yes | 143.37 |
| northdrawer | Yes | 130.65 |
| LockheedFartin | Yes | 78.47 |
| Quick-Witted-Theism-Classification | Yes | 37.43 |
| god83743894 | Yes | 30 |
| quietparcel | Yes | 10.65 |
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