Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46%. Yes opened at 51% on 26 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 11% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11% on 28 Sep 2026. $17.68K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 4:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 51.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
6 more markets, none above 1.3%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Ledger 5FB2 | No | 4.5K |
| grasstoucher69 | Yes | 514.02 |
| Afraid-Patent | No | 452.06 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xagusd-hit-in-october-2026
| AMAM13 | No | 384.71 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 250.42 |
| GotGreenWood | No | 250 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 70 |
| 0xJasonSan | No | 53.68 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| financegaaaydog | No | 37.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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