Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 45 points from 50% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 3.6% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?”.
$983.52 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.65K since listing. The order book holds $16.47K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $166.89 bought Yes and $7.47K bought No; the largest was a $2.45K buy of No at 97.5¢.
The largest Yes position is EgoVolae with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is lagex333 with 4.2K. Ten wallets hold 95.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 10 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lagex333 | No | 4.23K |
| EgoVolae | Yes | 3.07K |
| Corrupt-Lark | No | 2.51K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xagusd-hit-in-october-2026
5 more markets, none above 0.8%.
| Vagabund97 |
| Yes |
| 1.33K |
| pennedreadful | Yes | 1.14K |
| grasstoucher69 | Yes | 959.42 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 750 |
| MrYanDao | No | 300 |
| Rainmore | No | 204.72 |
| Haradwaith | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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