Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, the highest close was 79.5% on 27 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 35.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $36.35K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 24 Oct 2025 – 2 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MasonsConqueredRome | Yes | 99.99 |
| daystay | Yes | 99.97 |
| Muhieddin1996 | Yes | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack is not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the soundtrack appears. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-wicked-for-good-the-soundtrack-debut-at-no-1-on-the-billboard-200
| Yes |
| 20.8 |
| jiwoo14 | Yes | 12.14 |
| 9x7c7v44 | No | 6.01 |
| dumil2 | No | 5.01 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| AIUJDJOQ154 | Yes | 5 |
| ghjg7 | Yes | 2.82 |
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