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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 101.16 |
| $0.860 |
| $87 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?No | buy | 83.1 | $0.842 | $70 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?No | buy | 25.19 | $0.397 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.470 | $14.1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 41.18 | $0.680 | $28 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 56.46 | $0.531 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ETDown | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 28.65 | $0.698 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 15.33 | $0.306 | $4.69 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.710 | $2.95 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 26.02 | $0.769 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Yes | sell | 15.6 | $0.080 | $1.25 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.21 | $0.770 | $5.55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.985 | $0.28 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No | sell | 17 | $0.986 | $16.76 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?No | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 28.29 | $0.830 | $23.48 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down - November 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 12.97 | $0.771 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No | buy | 49.26 | $0.203 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No | buy | 17.29 | $0.289 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Yes | buy | 29.63 | $0.270 | $8 | Nov 22, 2025 |