Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, down 27 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 2 Jun 2026.
Across the 143 daily closes on record from 2 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.5% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.6%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 2.1% on 3 Jun 2026.
Wells Fargo ranks fourth of the 9 outcomes in “Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?”. Goldman Sachs leads at 91.1%; JPMorgan is at 0.6%.
$3.81K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.01K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 121 trades, $7.28 bought Yes and $1.38K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Solar Kestrel 0A74 with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.1K. Ten wallets hold 82.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 7:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 143 points, 2 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2026 | 27.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.1K |
| Solar Kestrel 0A74 | Yes | 1K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 734.7 |
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo
| balthazar | Yes | 699.91 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 358.58 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 296.33 |
| korda77 | Yes | 281 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 247.74 |
| god83743894 | Yes | 200 |
| Tanxuan-poker | Yes | 166.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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