Analytics
Yes is at 5%, down 47 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 119 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61.5% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%; a month before, 13%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 7.5% on 4 Sep 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?”.
$1.71K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.25K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 42 trades, $50.71 bought Yes and $640.8 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 229 shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 210.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 119 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 51.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 228.79 |
| FrozenParasite | No | 210 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 117 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31-20260626201631463
7 more markets, none above 4.5%.
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 44.75 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 39.9 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 30.53 |
| thursdays | No | 29.9 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 20.99 |
| PMWolf | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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