Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 41 points from 45% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 24.5% on 20 Aug 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?”.
$18.45 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $280.3 since listing. The order book holds $202.42, with a 6.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.6K.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 45.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.61K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1.23K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 133.25 |
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth
| Haradwaith | Yes | 100 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 55 |
| balthazar | Yes | 39.71 |
| Solar Summit 0A64 | Yes | 20 |
| EMCR | Yes | 14.29 |
| velorot | Yes | 10 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 6.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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