Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, down 22 points from 50% when the market opened on 15 Sep 2026.
The high was 51% on 26 Sep 2026 and the low 22% on 1 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 22.5%; a month ago, 27.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 51% on 26 Sep 2026.
It is one of 36 markets under “UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase”.
$107.06 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $690.47 since listing. The order book holds $869.43, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $64.34 bought Yes and $164.92 bought No.
The largest Yes position is TypeShi with 153 shares; the largest No position is milkteaboba with 90.
Trading closes on 28 Feb 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 18, 3:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TypeShi | Yes | 153.33 |
| milkteaboba | No | 89.69 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 23.64 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-finish-top-8-in-league-phase
24 more markets, none above 21.5%.
| Stupendous-Donut |
| No |
| 22 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 14 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | No | 8.58 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 6 |
| winser | No | 6 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 5 |
| Amused-Thought | No | 1.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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