Analytics
Yes is at 46%, down 9.5 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 110 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%; a month before, 31%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 74% on 4 Oct 2026.
December 31, 2027 is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Will Vest launch a token by ___?”, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 42%.
$120 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.91K since listing. The order book holds $140.08, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 46 trades, $443.3 bought Yes and $404.54 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Malganis with 85 shares; the largest No position is GuyFromTinder with 60.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 55.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Malganis | Yes | 85 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 60 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 30.1 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vest officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Vest will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vest (https://x.com/VestExchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-vest-launch-a-token-by-20260708174029215
| CZ667 |
| No |
| 30 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 15.09 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | No | 5 |
| dropmeplease | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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