Analytics
Yes is at 19.5%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 107 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 11 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%; a month before, 55%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 50.5% on 12 Jul 2026.
December 31, 2026 ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Will Vest launch a token by ___?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 42%; December 31, 2027 is at 32%.
$60 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.26K since listing. The order book holds $196.28, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $138.19 bought Yes and $359.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 92 shares; the largest No position is ClickKlackClick with 60.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 92.01 |
| ClickKlackClick | No | 60 |
| Malganis | Yes | 47.95 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vest officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Vest will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vest (https://x.com/VestExchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-vest-launch-a-token-by-20260708174029215
| GuyFromTinder |
| No |
| 30.1 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 30.01 |
| Choroo | No | 11.37 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | No | 6 |
| random-random123 | No | 1.52 |
| xixihaha009 | No | 0.98 |
| brra | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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