Analytics
Yes is at 14%, down 18 points from 32% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 15% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Copa do Brasil: 2026 Champion”.
$1.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $194.93, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 40 trades, $154.26 bought Yes and $175.14 bought No.
The largest Yes position is carpe-noctem with 140 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 286.
Trading closes on 6 Dec 2026, 45 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 286.2 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 200 |
| carpe-noctem | Yes | 140 |
This market will resolve according to the club that wins the 2026 Copa do Brasil. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed club to win the 2026 Copa do Brasil per the rules of the competition (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Copa do Brasil is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Confederação Brasileira de Futebol (CBF); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/copa-do-brasil-champion-2026
| Garmonbozia |
| Yes |
| 130 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 72 |
| burroepobre | Yes | 59.04 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 40 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 30.99 |
| Stupendous-Donut | Yes | 30 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 29.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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