Analytics
Yes is at 14.5%, down 5.5 points from 20% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 20% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 14.5% on 11 Oct 2026.
Grêmio ranks third of the 4 outcomes in “Copa do Brasil: 2026 Champion”. Palmeiras leads at 43%; Atlético Mineiro is at 27%.
$261 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.29K since listing. The order book holds $982.21, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $86.93 bought Yes and $461.81 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Bulky-Helo-Athlete with 904 shares; the largest No position is BeginnersLuck2 with 742.
Trading closes on 6 Dec 2026, 46 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 1:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 20.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 904.43 |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | 741.9 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 286.2 |
This market will resolve according to the club that wins the 2026 Copa do Brasil. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed club to win the 2026 Copa do Brasil per the rules of the competition (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Copa do Brasil is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Confederação Brasileira de Futebol (CBF); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/copa-do-brasil-champion-2026
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 81 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 40 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 31 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.1 |
| cigarettes | No | 19.2 |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh | Yes | 9.56 |
| Garmonbozia | Yes | 9.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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