Analytics
Yes is at 19.4%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 16 Jun 2026.
Across the 130 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.2% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.6% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.8%; a month before, 41.8%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 29.3% on 11 Sep 2026.
$27.71K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $465.81, with a 33.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $10.77K bought Yes and $126.04 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 139 shares; the largest No position is MarlR with 150. Ten wallets hold 84.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 130 points, 16 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 19.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MarlR | No | 149.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 139.39 |
| JSAFDIHFAKFSKFKSJ | Yes | 64.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-valve-officially-release-deadlock-before-2027-20260615174246158
| edgewarehouse |
| No |
| 57.72 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 56.4 |
| Andori | Yes | 50.99 |
| hesure | Yes | 45.21 |
| Vengeful-Chemistry-Debris | Yes | 32.83 |
| Fearless-Misnomer | No | 31.71 |
| kexit | No | 27.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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