Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 7 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 24 Aug 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 21.5% on 20 Aug 2026. $15.43K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 5:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 36.5% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.57K |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 387 |
| Shocking-Bowler | Yes | 190 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the new hero Valve announces at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. If Valve announces more than one new hero, this market will resolve to "Other". If The International 2026 is canceled or postponed beyond September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve Corporation via official Dota 2 channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-hero-will-be-announced-at-ti-2026-20260805195759849
New to prediction markets?
| ilkaa | Yes | 90.04 |
| Los0s1k | Yes | 65.71 |
| Cosmic Raven 18CF | Yes | 55.02 |
| richyee | Yes | 50 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 40.2 |
