Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 2 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.4% on 30 Apr 2026. $23.99K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 9:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradition157 | Yes | 650.59 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 259.24 |
| Starry-Warning | Yes | 209.57 |
| Open-Rye | Yes | 133.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usd-hit-iranian-rials-by-april-30
| l492 | Yes | 105.52 |
| Equatorial-Mention | Yes | 90 |
| 506f6c794d61726b6574 | Yes | 45.45 |
| daroghi | Yes | 43.69 |
| Waspman | Yes | 37.04 |
| Abeyzaby | Yes | 19 |
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