Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?

economyResolved

Yes, settled Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$27.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Topic roomIran–Israel

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 2 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 27% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 97.7% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 92.3% on 30 Sep 2026. $27.05K traded over the market's life.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.69K
Dimpled-Hurt	No	53.5
HerrieDavis	No	52.67
Turbulent-Decline-Router	No	51

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.