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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 28 | $0.985 | $27.85 | +$0.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 109.66 | $0.020 | $2.19 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 28 |
| $0.983 |
| $27.47 |
| -$0.05 |
 Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 27.54 | $0.986 | $27.23 | +$0.07 |
 Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E8 S1? | Yes | 27.51 | $0.977 | $27.01 | +$0.14 |
 Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? | No | 28 | $0.981 | $25.73 | -$1.73 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026? | No | 21 | $0.955 | $19.64 | -$0.42 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026? | No | 28 | $0.987 | $19.4 | -$8.22 |
 Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? | No | 20.25 | $0.925 | $17.57 | -$1.16 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | No | 14 | $0.996 | $13.93 | -$0.01 |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? | No | 14 | $0.951 | $13.43 | +$0.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 12 | $0.994 | $11.99 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | Yes | 10 | $0.978 | $9.97 | +$0.19 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 7 | $0.998 | $6.99 | +$0 |
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 7 | $0.992 | $6.98 | +$0.03 |
 Will anyone say "Pawn" during Big Brother E33? | No | 14 | $0.915 | $6.79 | -$6.02 |
| Will anyone say "Hell" during President Curtis E8 S1? | Yes | 7 | $0.919 | $6.09 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | Yes | 3 | $0.976 | $2.9 | -$0.03 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August? | No | 2.53 | $0.998 | $2.53 | +$0 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | Yes | 2 | $0.989 | $2 | +$0.02 |
 Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | No | 0.99 | $0.930 | $0.96 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 94.15 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.94 |
| 3d ago |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes | sell | 149.01 | $0.005 | $0.75 | 3d ago |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | sell | 97.03 | $0.023 | $2.23 | 3d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?Yes | sell | 71.83 | $0.025 | $1.8 | 3d ago |
 Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,249,000 and $1,259,000 on May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.990 | $6.93 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.979 | $6.84 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 7 | $0.984 | $6.89 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.960 | $6.72 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 83.27 | $0.650 | $54.13 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 83.25 | $0.601 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | sell | 65.28 | $0.021 | $1.37 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 67.23 | $0.032 | $2.15 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.057 | $4.56 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | sell | 137.11 | $0.030 | $4.15 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 2.99 | $0.940 | $2.81 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.99 | $0.780 | $2.33 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | sell | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |