Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 14.5% on 24 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 4.5% on 25 Jan 2025. $116.56K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 5:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| regislanderge | Yes | 265.14 |
| PepeLolo | Yes | 151.52 |
| chomint | Yes | 63.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government sells any of its Bitcoin by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-us-gov-sell-bitcoin-before-march-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 49.99 |
| exoprint | Yes | 20 |
| vi.jiang | Yes | 20 |
| Gekin | No | 3 |
| Berylee | No | 1.63 |
| Bassa | No | 1.42 |
| nikomao | No | 1.03 |
