Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 36% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 21 Sep 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 13% on 9 Jan 2026. $219.99K traded over the market's life.
164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 12:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 21 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 36.0% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 156.21K |
| bogdanc1 | Yes | 17.02K |
| anoin123 | Yes | 15.76K |
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-seats-will-united-russia-win-in-the-next-russian-legislative-election
| 754435523 | Yes | 5.82K |
| GayPride | Yes | 5.75K |
| Mastazq | Yes | 4.63K |
| antoo111 | Yes | 4.3K |
| ocean.express | Yes | 4.04K |
| trueludik | Yes | 3.6K |
| balthazar | Yes | 3.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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